Syracuse, N.Y. — A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for many of Upstate NY through tonight. “A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will develop along and before a chilly front through the afternoon and early evening hours,” the National Weather Service said. “The main threats are going to be from damaging wind gusts, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and heavy rainfall.” Intense rain, at rates of 1 inch or more per hour, could cause localized flooding. A watch means conditions within the atmosphere are right to get severe storms, which may have winds of 58 mph or greater, enough to wreck structures and knock down trees.
Storms will move west to east, with odds of severe storms highest within the late afternoon within the Capital Region. Today’s storms are likely to be more widespread and intense than people who popped up Tuesday. they might start as early as noon in Western NY and make their way east and northeast, diminishing after dark within the eastern half of the state. Most of Upstate features a 15% chance of severe storms today, while the Capital Region is within the 30% range, said the Storm Prediction Center. the sole regions not covered by the thunderstorm watch are the North Country and counties along Lake Ontario. Storms are possible but less likely to be severe in those regions.
The polar front generating these storms also will drop temperatures considerably. While highs since the weekend have stayed stubbornly within the 90s in much of Upstate, they’ll likely remain within the upper 70s through the vacation weekend. Temperatures within the 80s are expected to return by early next week.