The 149th Open Championship at Royal St. George’s began much easier than anticipated on Thursday morning as soft conditions made the course scoreable for the morning tee times. Several players would leap out to low rounds on the Par 70 because the early wave played the course to only 0.23 shots over par, while it played nearly a stroke and a half tougher for the afternoon tee times. Louis Oosthuizen took the foremost advantage of his early start time as he shot a bogey-free 64 to require a one-shot lead through 18 holes. The South African is seeking his second career major win in the week, but certainly has company after the primary round as Jordan Spieth and Brian Harman posted matching 5-under rounds to start out their Open Championship. a gaggle of 5 players will start Friday’s second round two shots back of the leaders, including Webb Simpson, who shot the simplest round within the afternoon.
Unfortunately, we don’t have strokes gained data in the week as there’s no hotlink for this tournament, so I’ll attempt to use more traditional data during a best bets format after each round. The weather will still be a key for the remainder of the week, but the choice on if they water the course could also be even as important. The fairways and greens were soft by Open standards within the opening round and appeared to arrange within the afternoon. If the course is allowed to dry out, conditions will get tougher, but that ought to still favor the morning tee times on Friday. one among the foremost reliable players in major championships for a previous couple of years has been Xander Schauffele. He hasn’t been ready to close any with a win — in majors or the other event for that matter — but he seems to always be right within the mix. Schauffele got off to a touch of a slow start on Thursday at Royal St. George’s and therefore the way it happened was the most important surprise.
Schauffele hit only 10 greens in regulation in his opening round, which may be a surprising number for one among the simplest iron players within the world. It really kept him from having the ability to urge anything getting into his round and kept him around level par for many of the days. He was ready to sneak sick with a birdie on the 17th hole, to position him just five shots back of the leader going into Friday. I expect he will recover on approach within the second round, and obtain himself within the mix heading into the weekend. I’m not one who goes to leap certain him to urge the win, though the +3000 available on BetMGM is far more reasonable than his pre-tournament price. I’ll instead take a stab at him climbing into his cozy Top 5 slot by Sunday afternoon.
If there’s one player who fits our buy mold from traditional statistics going into the second round, it’s definitely Justin Thomas. He was one among the leaders across the sector in hitting greens in regulation on Thursday and hit better than 64% of his fairways but was one of the worst putters on the day. Thomas averaged 1.94 putts per green, which was quite a quarter-stroke worse than the field average. This has been a problem that has plagued JT this season, but he traditionally putts well on slower greens and had an honest week last week at the Scottish Open. He is going to be pressed to maneuver up the leaderboard on Friday if he wants to play the weekend and he’s a player who can go low at any time.
I’ll be buying JT to recover with a coffee round on Friday morning, and he is going to be a core play on behalf of me in the DFS Showdown. My favorite tournament play maybe a Top 20 at +250 available on DraftKings, and if you’re really feeling it, +700 for a Top 10 certainly isn’t out of the realm of realistic possibilities with 54 holes still to play. Now that we have a few morning guys looking to maneuver up the leaderboard, let’s get a day matchup to take advantage of. Paul Casey is simply a small favorite over Ian Poulter within the second round, and this is often one i will be able to look to attack. Poulter was simply awful together with his irons on Thursday as he hit only one-third of his greens in regulation, despite hitting the green on quite 85% of his drives.
While we all know that things were pretty good in Scotland last week for Poults, he has been inconsistent all year on approach and went into last week off of back-to-back tournaments losing quite a stroke to the sector together with his irons. He won’t be ready to escape thereupon play in the week, especially as things arrange within the afternoon. Casey, on the opposite hand, has been one of the simplest drivers of the ball all year but was a touch slow out of the gates within the opening round. He hit just eight fairways to start out his Open week but was ready to still convert that into an 83% greens in regulation rate. I even have more faith that he bounces backtrack the tee and continues his hot ball-striking than I do this Poulter makes a turnaround.